Weekly Car Market Intelligence: Decoding Value, Inventory, and Timing

Stay ahead in the dynamic car market with our weekly intelligence report. Discover which models are appreciating, which are depreciating, current dealer inventory trends, and the optimal times to buy or sell, all based on the latest data.

The automotive market, a perpetually shifting landscape, continues to challenge and reward those who understand its intricate rhythms. As we navigate mid February 2026, the trends observed over the past few weeks are solidifying, offering clear indicators for consumers and enthusiasts alike. This week, we delve into the nuances of vehicle valuation, examine the ebbs and flows of dealer inventories, and pinpoint the strategic moments for transactions.

Models Gaining Value: The Unexpected Rises

In recent weeks, several segments have defied conventional depreciation curves, showing surprising appreciation. The most notable gains are seen in specific niches, often driven by a confluence of limited production, burgeoning demand, and a shift in consumer preferences. For instance, the demand for well maintained, late model off road SUVs continues to surge. Vehicles like the 2020 to 2023 Toyota 4Runner TRD Pro and the Jeep Wrangler Rubicon (JL generation) have consistently commanded premium prices. Our analysis indicates an average value increase of 2.5 percent over the last month for these specific models, outperforming general market trends by a significant margin.

Another interesting development is the sustained appreciation of certain electric vehicles (EVs), particularly those from early production runs that are now considered collectible or possess unique technology. The first generation Porsche Taycan, especially Turbo S variants from 2020 and 2021, are holding their value remarkably well, even seeing slight upticks of 1.0 to 1.5 percent in some regional markets. This suggests a growing collector segment for early luxury EVs. Similarly, low mileage examples of the Tesla Model S Plaid from 2021 and 2022 are performing better than expected, likely due to their unparalleled performance metrics and the brand's enduring allure.

Classic and modern classic cars, as always, remain a strong investment. Iconic models like the air cooled Porsche 911 (964 and 993 generations) continue their steady climb, often seeing quarterly appreciation exceeding 5 percent for pristine examples. However, the more accessible end of this spectrum, such as clean examples of the 1990s and early 2000s Japanese sports cars like the Mazda RX 7 FD and the Honda S2000, are showing even more rapid growth. These enthusiast beloved vehicles are increasingly difficult to find in original condition, pushing their values upwards by 3 to 4 percent month over month.

Models Dropping Value: The Market Corrections

Conversely, several segments are experiencing a notable decline in value, presenting opportunities for savvy buyers. The most significant depreciation is observed in volume selling sedans from the 2023 and 2024 model years, particularly those that have recently undergone a refresh or a complete redesign for the 2025 model year. The outgoing generation of the Honda Accord and Toyota Camry, for example, have seen average value drops of 1.8 percent and 1.5 percent respectively over the last four weeks. This is a natural market correction as newer, more technologically advanced versions enter showrooms.

Luxury sedans, specifically those from brands with aggressive leasing programs, are also experiencing accelerated depreciation. Large flagship sedans like the Mercedes S Class (W223 generation) and the BMW 7 Series (G70 generation) from 2023 are showing a faster value erosion than anticipated, with declines averaging 2.0 percent monthly. This is partly due to the high sticker prices of new models, making used examples a more attractive proposition for buyers, but also the rapid introduction of new technology in this segment, rendering older models less desirable sooner.

Entry level electric vehicles that have been superseded by newer, longer range, or more affordable alternatives are also seeing a swift decrease in market value. The Chevrolet Bolt EV and EUV, while still practical, are consistently showing a 2.0 to 2.5 percent monthly depreciation as buyers gravitate towards models like the Hyundai Kona Electric or even Tesla's more affordable offerings from previous years. This highlights the rapid pace of technological advancement and market saturation in the EV space.

Dealer Inventory Trends: A Shifting Landscape

Dealer inventories across the United States are steadily increasing, a trend that began in late 2025 and is continuing into early 2026. This increase is a welcome change from the supply constrained years of 2021 to 2023. According to recent industry reports, the average days supply of new vehicles now stands at approximately 65 days, up from around 50 days just three months ago. Used vehicle inventories are also on an upward trajectory, providing consumers with a broader selection than they have seen in years.

The increase in inventory is not uniform across all segments. Truck and SUV inventories, while growing, are still relatively tighter compared to sedans. Full size trucks like the Ford F 150 and Chevrolet Silverado 1500 have seen their days supply increase by about 10 days to around 70 days, while compact and midsize sedans often exceed 80 days supply. This disparity suggests that while selection is improving overall, popular truck and SUV models may still command stronger prices due to enduring demand.

Electric vehicle inventories are particularly noteworthy. Many dealerships are reporting an oversupply of certain EV models, particularly those introduced in the past year that have not met sales expectations. This oversupply, coupled with increasing competition, is leading to more aggressive incentives and potential negotiation room for buyers. This is a significant shift from just a year ago when EVs were often sold at or above sticker price.

Best Time to Buy or Sell: Strategic Timing

Understanding these market dynamics is crucial for making informed decisions on when to buy or sell a vehicle. Based on current data and trends, here are our recommendations:

Best Time to Buy:

New Sedans, especially outgoing models: With increasing inventories and the natural depreciation of previous generation models, now is an excellent time to negotiate on new sedans that are about to be, or have just been, replaced by newer versions. Look for dealer incentives and potential clearance sales. Certain Electric Vehicles: The oversupply in some EV segments means that buyers seeking a new electric car can likely find compelling deals and negotiate favorable terms. Dealers are motivated to move these units, especially year end models from 2025 as the 2026 models arrive. Luxury Sedans (Used): The accelerated depreciation of late model luxury sedans creates a strong buyer's market. You can acquire a two to three year old Mercedes S Class or BMW 7 Series for a significantly reduced price compared to its original MSRP, often with substantial warranty remaining. End of Quarter/Month: Dealerships often have sales targets to meet by the end of each month and quarter. Targeting the last few days of March, June, September, and December can yield better deals as sales managers push to hit their numbers.

Worst Time to Buy (or Exercise Caution):

Popular Off Road SUVs (New and Used): While inventories are growing, demand remains extremely high for models like the Toyota 4Runner TRD Pro or Jeep Wrangler Rubicon. Unless you find a particularly eager seller, prices will likely remain firm. Collector Grade JDM Sports Cars: The market for these models is highly competitive and values are appreciating rapidly. If you must buy, be prepared to pay a premium for well preserved examples.

Best Time to Sell: